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DOGEUSD long — 29 Oct 2026 (stopped out)

This long on DOGEUSD entered at 0.080314 and stopped out at 0.07906 after 3.6 hours, closing at -1.56%.

AssetDOGEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-10-29 16:27
Entry0.080314
Stop-loss0.07906
Take-profit 10.081278
Take-profit 2 (stretch)0.08192
Reward:risk at entry1.28
Outcomestopped out
Close price0.07906
Realized P&L-1.56%
Time open3.6 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 mixed (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h mixed, 4h bear), 1h ADX 23.3 slope +3.5 (genuine, strengthening), choppiness 36.3 (<38 trending edge), ER-10 0.64 clean recent impulse vs ER-30 ~0 (longer path nets nowhere), Hurst 0.47 neutral, HMM calm 99.99%, RV 24h 97th pctile (very elevated) — a fresh lower-TF up-impulse gaining ADX inside a still-bearish 4h stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean — net +1.64%/4h and +2.55%/12h, taker 1.13 with a bullish final-hour tilt, OI accelerating_up (+2.85% recent half, z +1.05), top-trader pos ratio 3.38 heavily long — flow and momentum both tilt up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI accelerating_up on rising price with a positive taker ratio is fresh longs adding into an up-impulse, and 5m/15m bull stacks with strengthening ADX confirm trend-aligned on the lower TFs where price is actually moving. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h stack is still bear_aligned and price sits only -0.40% from the 5d high — a rejection there flips this back into the broader downtrend. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.080314; stop 0.079060 below the recent impulse base (~1.56% risk, within the elevated 24h RV range); stretch TP 0.081920 at a push through the 5d high (~2.0% / ~1.28x risk, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: elevated vol favors traversal both ways; momentum/flow edge is real but 4h resistance caps.

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