DOGEUSD short — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.090542 and stopped out at 0.09218 after 3.2 hours, closing at -1.81%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-24 08:24 |
| Entry | 0.090542 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09218 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.089479 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08877 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09218 |
| Realized P&L | -1.81% |
| Time open | 3.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 0/4 (5m/15m bear_aligned, 1h/4h bull_aligned), 4h ADX 48.8 strong-up but 1h ADX 9.8 slope -0.36 (chop-grade), ER-30 0.078 / choppiness 58 (path netting nowhere), Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.8% — a strong 4h uptrend deeply stalled into chop with fresh near-term downside pressure (net -1.98%/4h, -2.56%/12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but near-term momentum is clearly down (5m/15m bear stack, RSI 30 on 5m, OI accelerating_down -1.9z, agg_liq mostly longs being hit) while structural 4h remains bull — I lean SHORT into the fresh downside break given momentum + OI unwind. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster — oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -1.9, agg_oi_24h -3.1%, net_move -1.98%/4h, and long-side liquidations dominant (0.88) all point to leveraged longs unwinding into the drop; 5m/15m bear stacks confirm the active timeframe. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the 4h uptrend/top-trader pos ratio 4.7 (heavily long) means any reclaim of ~0.0915 with a taker-buy flip re-asserts the dominant bull and invalidates the fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.090542, stop above the near-term reclaim/structure at 0.09218 (~1.8% — within realized range given RV-24h 79 and 4h atr 3.5%), target down toward the 12h low structure at 0.08877 (~1.8%, R:R ~1.02, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: near-term momentum favors the fade but strong 4h trend + heavy top-trader longs cap conviction; base rate on chop shorts is modest.
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