DOGEUSD short — 30 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.082769 and hit its target at 0.081582 after 18 minutes, closing at +1.43%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-30 23:23 |
| Entry | 0.082769 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08438 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.081582 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08079 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.23 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.081582 |
| Realized P&L | +1.43% |
| Time open | 18 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m/1h bear_aligned, 4h still bull_aligned but ADX 14 fading), 1h ADX 22.1 slope +2.7 (downside trend firming), ER-10 0.54 / ER-30 0.27 / choppiness 41.4 / Hurst 0.21 (mean-reverting path), HMM calm 99.96% — a fresh, moderately clean downside impulse in an otherwise mean-reverting tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: net_move -3.8%/4h, -2.9%/12h, -3.2%/24h all down, OI bleeding (oi_5m_z -1.40, oi_15m_z -1.27, agg_oi -1.9%, accelerating_down), price pinned at 5d/20d/90d low with taker 0.80 (sell-heavy) — momentum clearly favors short. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — three of four lower EMA stacks bear, ADX firming, and OI shedding on a fresh leg lower with sellers dominant; this is exactly the setup that won three times recently on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is deeply oversold (5m/15m 23, 1h 28) and top-traders sit heavily long (pos ratio 3.13) — an oversold snapback reclaiming ~0.0842 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.082769, stop 0.084380 just above the recent 4h swing/reclaim zone (~1.95% wide, within the 5.4% daily range), take_profit_1 0.080790 at the next downside extension (~2.39%, R:R ~1.23, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but oversold + long top-traders and mean-reversion cap conviction.
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