DOGEUSD short — 8 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.089086 and stopped out at 0.09076 after 3.4 hours, closing at -1.88%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-08 12:18 |
| Entry | 0.089086 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09076 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.08799 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08726 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09076 |
| Realized P&L | -1.88% |
| Time open | 3.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 1h/4h EMA bull_aligned but 5m/15m bear → mtf 0/4 mixed; 1h ADX 11.4 slope -0.13 (chop/fading), 4h ADX 34 (HTF structure intact but stalling), ER-30 0.06 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 55 (neither), Hurst 0.45 (mildly mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.97% — bull-structured HTF tape now leaking lower, price z +0.89. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but tilting short — near-term momentum is clearly down (net -2.5% 12h/24h, -0.3% 4h), OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.16, recent-half -3.35%), agg OI -0.61%, taker 0.84 (sellers dominant); the only bullish counter is HTF bull EMA + top_trader_pos_ratio 3.59, but that top-trader crowd is heavily long into a fading trend, and its delta is negative (-0.075). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short — flow cluster (declining OI on down-drift + sub-1.0 taker + negative funding-z unwinding) plus near-term bear EMA stack points down; the HTF bull stack is stalling not resuming. 4. PRE-MORTEM: reclaim of the 1h EMA cluster / 5d-high with taker flipping >1 would re-assert the HTF bull structure and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.089086; stop above recent structure at 0.09076 (~1.9% — inside 1x rv_24h/atr band); target down at 0.08726 toward the 5d-low region (~1.9% below, R:R ~1.0, inside 4% clamp). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors short modestly but chop caps traversal — p_tp1 43 / p_sl 38 / p_expire 19.
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