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DOGEUSD short — 15 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.081801 and hit its target at 0.08057 after 3.5 hours, closing at +1.50%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-15 15:13 |
| Entry | 0.081801 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08335 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.08057 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07975 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.32 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.08057 |
| Realized P&L | +1.50% |
| Time open | 3.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed but 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 24.9 slope +6.6 (trend firming), ER-10 0.40/ER-30 0.30, choppiness 40 (trending edge), Hurst 0.38 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 99.97% — a firming down-leg out of low-vol tape, price z -1.59 sitting right at 5d/20d/90d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: short lean — bearish EMA stack across three TFs with strengthening ADX, negative net moves (4h -0.98%, 12h -1.84%, 24h -2.69%), macro risk-off (SPX/gold red, VIX +3.3%). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 5m/15m/1h bear-aligned with ADX slope +6.6 firming, and last taker hour 0.75 (sellers pressing); the fresh clean down-leg is the strongest cluster. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits +0.57% off 20d/90d lows with Hurst 0.38 mean-reverting and top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.38) — an oversold bounce/reclaim of ~0.0830 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 0.083350 above the intraday reclaim zone (~1.9% risk, near the 24h RV band); take_profit_1 0.079750 targeting a break through the 90d low band (~2.5% reward, R:R ~1.3, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: firming trend but near-low bounce risk and mean-reverting Hurst temper it.
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