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DOGEUSD short — 28 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.092929 and stopped out at 0.09525 after 9.3 hours, closing at -2.50%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-28 07:53 |
| Entry | 0.092929 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09525 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.091262 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09015 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.09525 |
| Realized P&L | -2.50% |
| Time open | 9.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m EMA bear, 1h mixed, 4h bull (alignment 2/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 23.4 slope +6.1 (trend building on the down-leg), ER-10 0.61 (clean recent one-way move) vs ER-30 0.23, choppiness 45.8 neutral, Hurst 0.60 mildly persistent, HMM calm 99.86% — a transitional structure with fresh, clean downside momentum. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price down -5.4% 24h, -4.4% 12h, ER-10 confirms this leg is directional and OI is accelerating_down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: dominant cluster is flow/OI — taker ratio 0.79 (persistent sub-1 for most of 24h buckets), oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -0.97, agg OI -2.2% — longs bleeding out into the decline, trend-aligned with the 5m/15m bear stack and the mirror asset shorts that repeatedly won. 4. PRE-MORTEM: DOGE sits +1.1% off 5d low and +9.6% off 20d low with top-traders very long (pos ratio 3.20) — a squeeze/bounce off the low reclaiming ~0.0945 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.092929; stop 0.09525 beyond the recent reclaim/4h structure (~2.5% = ~0.6x rv-driven range); target 0.09015 (~1.9%, RR ~1.3), an honest push toward the 5d low reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 4.2%. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but top-trader long crowding + proximity to low temper it.
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