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DOGEUSD short — 28 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.094808 and hit its target at 0.093423 after 2.4 hours, closing at +1.46%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-28 17:23 |
| Entry | 0.094808 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09651 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.093423 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0925 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.093423 |
| Realized P&L | +1.46% |
| Time open | 2.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m mixed, 15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h bull (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed, transitional); 1h ADX 27.0 slope -1.9 (trending but fading), ER-10 0.28 / ER-30 0.15 (choppy path netting little), choppiness 60.3 (right at range-bound line), Hurst 0.61 mildly persistent, HMM calm 99.86% — a transitional/choppy structure with near-term downside bias (-2.3% 24h). 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — near-term 24h net move negative, taker 1h ratio 0.966 (sell-tilted) and the entire 24h hourly taker history is dominated by sub-1.0 (persistent selling), matching the recurring winning DOGE short template on this asset. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster favors short — 24h taker ratios overwhelmingly <1.0, agg OI -0.235 (positions bleeding off on the down-leg), funding z -0.97 / momentum -1.36 (unwinding, no long fuel), and price pinned -1.99% below 4h EMAs failing to reclaim; the 4h bull EMA and heavy top-trader long ratio (3.25) are the main counterweight but top-trader positioning is a well-known contrarian fade. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a reclaim of the 5d-high area / a taker flip decisively above 1.0 with OI re-expanding up would signal the 4h bull structure reasserting and invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.094808; stop 0.096510 (above recent 1h swing / the -0.75% intraday resistance and 5d-high pull, ~1.8% risk, within the ~4.2% avg 24h traversal); take_profit_1 0.092500 stretch toward the 5d-low / prior consolidation floor (~2.4% below, R:R ~1.36, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: choppy tape with a real but modest downside flow lean; base rate on this asset's shorts is favorable.
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