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DOGEUSD short — 6 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.093645 and hit its target at 0.09219 after 6.4 hours, closing at +1.55%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-06 19:35 |
| Entry | 0.093645 |
| Stop-loss | 0.09505 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.092772 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.09219 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.09219 |
| Realized P&L | +1.55% |
| Time open | 6.4 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 0/4, mtf mixed (5m/15m bear-aligned & deeply oversold, 1h/4h bull), 1h ADX 15.5 slope +0.5, ADX-20 12.9, ER-10 0.31 / ER-30 0.26, choppiness 46, Hurst 0.32 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.98% — a low-ADX chop regime with a fresh downside impulse into oversold. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest short lean — net_move_4h -1.9%, net_24h -2.0%, 5m/15m EMA bear and taker ratio 0.99 (sell-leaning), but 5m RSI 25 / 15m RSI 22 are deeply oversold near the 5d low (-3.76%), so downside is late-stage. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the momentum/flow cluster favors short — fresh -2% 4h impulse, bear-aligned short TFs, OI accelerating_up (fresh shorts building, oi_change_recent_half +1.97%) confirming downside continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold short-TF RSI near the 5d low plus top-trader pos ratio 4.15 long means a mean-reversion snap higher would invalidate; this is counter the 1h/4h bull stack, so conviction is capped. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.093645, stop above the recent reclaim pivot at 0.09505 (~1.5% / within rv), target the 5d-low zone at 0.09225 (~1.44% / RR ~0.96 → widen target slightly to 0.09220 for RR ~1.03). 6. EXPECTATION: oversold chop with a downside tilt but strong snap-back risk — p_tp1 42, p_sl 37, p_expire 21.
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