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DOGEUSD short — 7 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.090688 and hit its target at 0.089045 after 8 hours, closing at +1.81%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-07 02:05 |
| Entry | 0.090688 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0928 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.089045 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08795 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.30 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.089045 |
| Realized P&L | +1.81% |
| Time open | 8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: alignment 4/4 but mtf 'mixed/transitional' — 5m/15m EMA bear-aligned and deeply oversold (RSI 20/14), 1h/4h mixed; 1h ADX 25.5 slope +6.0 (trend strengthening on the downside), ER-10 0.81 (very clean recent one-way move), choppiness 20 (strongly trending), Hurst 0.28 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a genuine fresh downside impulse, not chop. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -2.9%, net_12h -5.9%, net_24h -4.2%, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -5.5), last taker ratio 0.46 (sellers dominating). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: fresh, efficient down-impulse (ER-10 0.81, choppiness 20) with OI accelerating_down and the latest hourly taker ratio collapsing to 0.46 — momentum/flow are trend-aligned to the downside; this is markedly different from the prior chop regime that burned longs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: deeply oversold 5m/15m RSI + z-score -2.94 + top-trader pos ratio 4.1 (heavy long bias) sets up a mean-reversion bounce that would invalidate the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.090688; stop above the 4h structure / recent minor swing at 0.09280 (≈2.3% stop, near the asset's 4h atr and inside realized range); stretch TP down at 0.08815 (≈2.0% move, ~0.86x stop, structural continuation of the 12h impulse) — R:R ≈ 0.86, so tighten TP to 0.08795 giving R:R ≈ 1.0 within clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-but-trending tape; momentum favors continuation but bounce risk is real.
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