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DOGEUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.083232 and hit its target at 0.081923 after 1.5 hours, closing at +1.57%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 15:35 |
| Entry | 0.083232 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08523 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.081923 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08105 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.081923 |
| Realized P&L | +1.57% |
| Time open | 1.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 55.4 slope +1.6 (very strong, still strengthening), ER-10 0.59 (clean one-way), choppiness 34 (<38 strongly trending), Hurst 0.42 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a genuine, strong, fresh downside impulse at 5d/20d/90d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -4.6%, 12h -6.1%, 24h -6.4%, price pinned at fresh lows. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strong trend-aligned short — OI down 8.5% (agg -14.6%) on a falling price with oi_momentum accelerating_down and oi 5m/15m z near -3.4 (long capitulation), taker 0.93 (sellers in control), funding z deeply negative (-1.48 agg) — downside flow confirmed; this exact setup has won repeatedly on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI oversold across every TF (1h 18.9, 15m 17, z-score -3.97) plus top-trader pos ratio 3.47 long — a mean-reversion bounce from a stretched state would invalidate; that's the one real risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.083232; stop above the recent intraday swing/invalidation at 0.08520 (~2.37% — within 1h atr/rv range for this very-high-vol regime); stretch target 0.08088 (~1.73% below, ~0.73x stop distance... adjust) — set TP at 0.08075 for R:R ~1.1, a reachable continuation leg given avg 24h traversal 2.15% and the momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: trend strong but RSI deeply oversold caps follow-through; p_tp1 46, p_sl 33, p_expire 21.
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