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DOGEUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.083163 and stopped out at 0.08495 after 1 minutes, closing at -2.15%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 15:20 |
| Entry | 0.083163 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08495 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.081715 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.08075 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.35 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08495 |
| Realized P&L | -2.15% |
| Time open | 1 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 55.3 slope +1.5 (very strong, still strengthening), ER-10 0.63 (clean one-way move), choppiness 35.7 (<38 strongly trending), Hurst 0.42 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a genuine, strong, fresh downside impulse at fresh lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -5.3%, 12h -6.8%, 24h -7.1%, price at 5d/20d/90d LOW, z-score -4.19 (deeply stretched). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — OI collapsing (-8.5% Delta, -13.7% agg, oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_15m_z -2.05) on falling price = long capitulation, taker 1h 0.93 sell-tilted, agg funding z -1.48 unwinding; the exact confluence that produced three +1.4–1.8% short wins on this asset. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 12–17 oversold across all TFs + top-trader pos ratio 3.47 heavily long + z-score -4.19 — a sharp mean-reversion bounce would invalidate; a reclaim of ~0.0845 kills the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.083163, stop above the reclaim at 0.08495 (~2.15% / ~1.6x atr_1h — within range given 110 RV), target the stretch down at 0.08075 (~1.03% below, R:R ~0.48... ) — recompute: stop dist 0.001787, need TP dist >= that; place TP at 0.08075 giving dist 0.002413 R:R 1.35, a reachable continuation toward next structural low given 24h traversal ~2.2%. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold stretch raises bounce risk, so meaningful p_sl and p_expire.
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