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DOGEUSD short — 8 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.081972 and stopped out at 0.08453 after 4.9 hours, closing at -3.12%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-08 17:05 |
| Entry | 0.081972 |
| Stop-loss | 0.0845 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.080399 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07935 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.04 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.08453 |
| Realized P&L | -3.12% |
| Time open | 4.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h EMA all bear-aligned (4h mixed), 1h ADX 58.1 slope +4.2 (very strong, still strengthening), ER-10 0.78 (clean one-way), choppiness 37.4 (<38 trending), Hurst 0.40 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a genuine, strong, fresh downside impulse at 5d/20d/90d lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move_4h -5.9%, 12h -6.0%, 24h -7.4%, price pinned at fresh lows with z-score -4.07. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — OI down 14.6% (agg -15.6%) on falling price = long capitulation, oi_momentum accelerating_down, oi_15m_z -2.56; the dominant impulse is downward and OI unwind confirms real liquidation, not short-covering noise. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (1h RSI 16.3, 15m 18.6) and top_trader_pos_ratio 3.26 (heavily long) plus 99% long-liq share — a sharp mean-reverting bounce is the main risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.081972; stop above the 4h structure / recent reaction near 0.0845 (beyond invalidation, ~3.1% ≈ sub-1h ATR span against a 109 rv_24h); take_profit_1 at 0.07935 (~3.2% down, R:R ~1.03, inside clamps) targeting continuation to next structural leg. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme oversold caps follow-through odds — modest edge to continuation.
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