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DOGEUSD short — 15 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.079686 and hit its target at 0.078356 after 11.3 hours, closing at +1.67%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-15 02:35 |
| Entry | 0.079686 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08165 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.078356 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07747 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.078356 |
| Realized P&L | +1.67% |
| Time open | 11.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 27.0 slope +4.95 (genuine trend, strengthening), 4h ADX 44.9 (strongly trending down), choppiness 31.6 (<38 trending), ER-10 0.88 (very clean short-term down-path), Hurst 0.44 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a clean, strengthening bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -5.9% on day, net_move_4h -2.8% / 12h -3.3% / 24h -6.2%, OI unwinding and taker ratio <1. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full bearish stack + rising ADX + clean ER-10 + accelerating_down OI (oi_15m_z -5.78, agg_oi_24h -5.6%) confirming longs are being flushed, not fresh shorts chasing a bottom. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 21.5 and 4h RSI 28.8 both oversold with rolling-z -2.0 — an oversold mean-reversion bounce (Hurst 0.44) back to the broken 5m/15m EMAs would invalidate; top-trader pos ratio 2.78 (longs leaning) is the one contradicting cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.079686; stop above the near-term invalidation / recent intraday structure at 0.08165 (~2.47% = ~1.1x 1h atr-driven range, structural); target 0.07747 (~2.78% down), reward:risk ~1.12, a reachable continuation leg given 2.66% typical 24h traversal and current momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold mean-reversion risk — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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