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DOGEUSD short — 17 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.079554 and hit its target at 0.078598 after 6.1 hours, closing at +1.20%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
| Entry | 0.079554 |
| Stop-loss | 0.08097 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.078598 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07796 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.078598 |
| Realized P&L | +1.20% |
| Time open | 6.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 27.1 slope +1.7 (genuine trend, modestly strengthening), 4h ADX 59.6 (very strong 4h downtrend), choppiness 53.9 (neutral), ER-10 0.44/ER-30 0.34 (moderately clean), Hurst 0.34 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.97% — a clean, strong bear trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -1.27% on day, net_move_4h -1.06%/12h -1.25%/24h -1.09%, full bear stack, agg OI -0.21% (positions bleeding). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — full_bearish MTF with 4h ADX ~60 and all four TFs ema bear-aligned; agg funding z -1.10 (shorts not crowded, room to run) and rolling z -1.83 (extended but trend-dominant). 4. PRE-MORTEM: top_trader_pos_ratio 3.28 (heavily long) plus taker 1.35 (buyers active) and rolling z -1.83 oversold could spark a mean-revert bounce that reclaims the 5d/intraday levels. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.079554; stop above recent intraday structure at 0.080970 (~1.78% / ~1x the 1h atr-scaled range beyond invalidation); take_profit_1 stretch at 0.077960 (~2.0% down, R:R ~1.13), a reachable continuation level toward the 5d low given avg_move_24h ~2.04%. 6. EXPECTATION: bear-aligned but oversold with heavy top-trader longs — modest edge.
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