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DOGEUSD short — 18 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.07836 and hit its target at 0.077334 after 2 hours, closing at +1.31%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-18 13:39 |
| Entry | 0.07836 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07982 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.077334 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07665 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.17 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.077334 |
| Realized P&L | +1.31% |
| Time open | 2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish across 5m/15m/1h/4h, 1h ADX 32.3 (slope -0.55, slightly fading), 4h ADX 66.0 (very strong downtrend), choppiness 45 neutral, ER-10 0.51/ER-30 0.24 (cleanish short-term on a noisy longer path), Hurst 0.42 mean-reverting, HMM calm 99.95% — a clean, strong bear trend with momentum fresh on day. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — price -1.60% on day, net_move_4h -1.70%/12h -1.50%/24h -1.93%, full bear stack, agg OI -1.06% (shorts riding a declining market). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is HTF trend alignment (4/4 bear, 4h ADX 66) confirmed by negative funding (binance -0.000005, agg_z -1.53) and declining OI into the drop — a trend-aligned short that this asset's track record rewards (62% WR, recent same-regime shorts won +2.15%/+1.80%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI deeply oversold (26.8/27.8) and top_trader_pos_ratio 3.18 (heavily long) — a sharp mean-reverting bounce off oversold could reclaim and stop the short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.07836; stop above the recent intraday structure / oversold-bounce zone at 0.07982 (~1.86% risk, within the 5.1% ADR); stretch TP at 0.07665 (~2.18% reward, R:R ~1.17, inside 4% clamp) targeting continuation toward the fresh 24d low. 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with oversold-bounce risk — p_tp1 46, p_sl 33, p_expire 21.
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