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DOGEUSD short — 23 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.0787 and hit its target at 0.07786 after 14 minutes, closing at +1.07%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-23 22:39 |
| Entry | 0.0787 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07975 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.07786 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.0773 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.07786 |
| Realized P&L | +1.07% |
| Time open | 14 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 25.4 slope +2.65 (genuine, strengthening trend), choppiness 53.6 (neutral), ER-10 0.58 vs ER-30 0.01 (clean recent impulse over a nets-nowhere longer path), Hurst 0.43 mild mean-revert, HMM calm 99.99% — a fresh, strengthening downward leg inside a bear-aligned HTF stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net_move -1.07%/4h, -1.59%/12h, full bearish MTF, OI accelerating_down (oi_5m_z -1.81, agg OI -0.98% 24h) confirming longs bleeding out. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — the dominant cluster is HTF trend (4/4 bear) plus flow (OI accelerating_down, agg OI collapsing) with funding still positive (z +1.17, momentum +2.96) meaning longs are crowded and paying to hold into a downtrend. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio has spiked to 1.73 (strongest buy pressure in 24h) and 5m RSI 28.5 oversold — a short-cover bounce reclaiming ~0.0790 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.07870; stop above the recent reclaim/consolidation shelf at 0.07975 (~1.33% stop, within the 4h atr_pct 1.61 range); stretch target down at 0.07730 (~1.78% move, R:R ~1.33x) toward the 5d low region. 6. EXPECTATION: trend + flow favor downside but oversold 5m RSI and hot taker ratio raise bounce risk.
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