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DOGEUSD short — 24 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.075528 and stopped out at 0.07735 after 4.8 hours, closing at -2.41%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-24 15:12 |
| Entry | 0.075528 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07735 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.074221 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07335 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07735 |
| Realized P&L | -2.41% |
| Time open | 4.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 50.95 slope +5.05 (very strong, strengthening trend), choppiness 30.2 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.82 clean impulse vs ER-30 0.48, Hurst 0.45 mild mean-revert, HMM calm 99.99% — a powerful, accelerating downward leg in a fully bear-aligned HTF stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — net -2.78%/4h, -4.22%/12h, -5.93%/24h, OI momentum accelerating_down, oi_5m_z -2.49, agg_oi -3.47%; trend and flow both point down. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: three confirming clusters — (a) full bearish MTF with strengthening ADX, (b) OI accelerating_down with falling z-scores confirming leveraged exit into the drop, (d) fresh break to 5d/20d/90d low (distance_from_extrema all at low) — trend-aligned short into a clean new-low breakdown. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (1h 20.9, 15m 16.5), z-score -3.16, top-trader pos ratio 2.86 (longs stacked) — a reflexive oversold bounce/short-squeeze would invalidate; also taker ratio 0.785 and funding deeply negative (shorts crowding) raises squeeze risk. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.075528; stop above the recent swing/4h structure at 0.077350 (~2.41% risk, within the elevated rv_24h 57% range given 4h atr% 1.85); stretch target 0.073350 down into next support (~2.88% below, R:R ~1.2, inside clamps), reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~1.9% and a 5.9% leg already underway. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme oversold tempers continuation odds.
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