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DOGEUSD short — 26 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.076513 and stopped out at 0.07775 after 12.8 hours, closing at -1.62%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 01:57 |
| Entry | 0.076513 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07775 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.075611 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07501 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07775 |
| Realized P&L | -1.62% |
| Time open | 12.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bearish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bear_aligned), 1h ADX 26.8 slope +1.6 (genuine, mildly strengthening trend), choppiness 58.4 (neutral-to-choppy), ER-10 0.27 / ER-30 0.08 (recent path nets nearly nowhere — a stall inside a bear-aligned stack), Hurst 0.46 mild mean-revert, HMM calm 99.99% — an intact bear trend that has gone sideways intraday. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear short lean — full bearish MTF stack, net -0.34%/4h, -0.42%/12h, -1.82%/24h, accelerating_down OI momentum, agg OI -1.09%, taker 0.78 sellers dominant. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — 4/4 bear EMA stack with ADX>26 across all TFs, confirmed by accelerating_down OI (shorts/longs leaving on the way down) and sub-1 taker ratio; this asset's recent short calls in this regime won +3.07% and +1.57%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: rolling_z_20d -1.78 and price only +0.98% off the 5d/20d/90d low — oversold and sitting on support, a reclaim bounce back through ~0.0770 would invalidate; top-trader pos ratio 3.07 (heavily long) is the one contra cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.076513, stop_loss 0.077750 above the stalled intraday structure and ~1.6% up (within 1h atr 0.73% x several bars / rv range), take_profit_1 0.075010 targeting a break below the 5d low cluster — risk 0.001237, reward 0.001503, R:R ~1.22, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: oversold-at-support in an intact bear trend — honest two-sided outcome.
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