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DOGEUSD short — 29 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.074867 and stopped out at 0.07692 after 50 minutes, closing at -2.74%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-29 20:42 |
| Entry | 0.074867 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07692 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.073531 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07264 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.08 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07692 |
| Realized P&L | -2.74% |
| Time open | 50 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 2/4 (5m mixed, 15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h bear), 1h ADX 24.3 slope +0.75 (genuine trend, mildly strengthening), choppiness 27.4 (<38 = strongly trending), ER-10 0.45 / ER-30 0.28 (reasonably clean recent one-way path), Hurst 0.41, HMM calm 99.99%, RV 24h 100th pctile (extreme) — a genuine, fresh downside trend impulse inside a bearish 4h stack. 2. LEAN CHECK: net_move -6.4% 24h / -6.2% 4h with trending choppiness and bear-aligned 4h/15m — clear short lean, not two-sided. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — bearish 4h/15m EMA stack + strongly trending choppiness + accelerating downside impulse + agg OI -8.2% (shorts pressing as price falls is a confirmed down-leg) with taker ratio 0.94 (sell tilt). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (5m 12, 15m 17, 1h 27) and z-score -2.1 plus top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 3.3) — a reflexive oversold bounce would invalidate the continuation short. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.074867; stop above the recent swing/reflex zone at 0.07692 (~2.74% = ~0.6x the extreme 24h RV, structural invalidation above 4h bear stack); TP at 0.07264 (~2.97% down, R:R ~1.08) targeting a push toward fresh lows, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but oversold stretch raises bounce odds — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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