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DOGEUSD short — 30 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.07302 and stopped out at 0.07477 after 1.9 hours, closing at -2.40%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-30 00:27 |
| Entry | 0.07302 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07477 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.071826 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07103 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.14 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 0.07477 |
| Realized P&L | -2.40% |
| Time open | 1.9 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 29.75 slope +4.34 (genuine trend, strengthening), choppiness 28.99 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.67 clean one-way vs ER-30 0.38, Hurst 0.36 (mean-reverting lean), HMM calm 99.6%, RV-24h 100th pctile (extreme) — a genuine, strengthening downtrend inside very high-vol tape at fresh lows. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bearish — full MTF bear stack, OI collapsing (-14% agg, oi z -4.1, accelerating_down), price pinned at 5d/20d/90d lows (dist to lows +0.00). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend+flow confluence — OI accelerating_down with price at new lows is a trend-aligned deleveraging cascade, taker ratio 0.71 (sellers in control last bar), agg OI -14% confirms leverage flushing on the short side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI deeply oversold across all TFs (5m 15.9, 15m 18.2, 1h 24.2) and z-20d -3.23 — an oversold bounce/reclaim of 0.0760 would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.07302; stop 0.07477 just above the recent breakdown shelf (~2.4% / ~1.4x 1h ATR, within 24h-realistic range); target 0.07103 near the measured-move extension (~2.7% / ~1.14x stop distance, R:R ~1.14, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extreme oversold raises bounce odds — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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