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DOGEUSD short — 30 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This short on DOGEUSD entered at 0.075337 and hit its target at 0.07355 after 8 minutes, closing at +2.37%.
| Asset | DOGEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-30 00:12 |
| Entry | 0.075337 |
| Stop-loss | 0.07665 |
| Take-profit 1 | 0.074265 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 0.07355 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.36 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 0.07355 |
| Realized P&L | +2.37% |
| Time open | 8 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF 4/4 full_bearish (all TFs bear_aligned), 1h ADX 28.75 slope +3.35 (genuine trend, strengthening), choppiness 33.5 (<38 strongly trending), ER-10 0.58 (clean recent one-way) vs ER-30 0.28, Hurst 0.37 (mean-reverting lean), HMM calm 99.6%, RV 24h 98.5th pctile (extreme) — a genuine, strengthening downtrend inside a very high-vol tape. 2. LEAN CHECK: clearly bearish — full MTF bear stack, -5.4% 24h, OI collapsing (-11% 24h, oi_15m_z -3.26, accelerating_down) confirming longs forced out. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend+flow confluence — full bear MTF with strengthening ADX, accelerating_down OI unwind and taker 0.71 (sellers pressing) all point down; price pinned at the 5d/20d/90d low (+0.00% off every low) in a one-way impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price sits at the 20d/90d low with z-score -2.04 and 15m RSI 27 (oversold) — a capitulation bounce / mean-reversion snap is the clear risk, and top-trader pos ratio 3.28 shows the smart book is heavily net-long against this move. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 0.075337; invalidation is a reclaim back above the broken 4h support — stop 0.07665 (~1.75% above, beyond the recent consolidation shelf, ~0.8x the 24h range given RV extreme); take_profit_1 stretch 0.07355 (~2.4% below, ~1.37x the stop distance, inside clamps, a fresh lower-low extension the downtrend points to). 6. EXPECTATION: trend-aligned with fresh breakdown but oversold at a hard floor — p_tp1 44, p_sl 37, p_expire 19.
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