ETHUSD long — 24 Jul 2026 (expired)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,890.5 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 1,857.4 with a price move of -1.75%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-24 07:03 |
| Entry | 1,890.5 |
| Stop-loss | 1,846 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,929.2 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,955 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.45 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 1,857.4 |
| Realized P&L | -1.75% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional (0/4 alignment, 5m mixed/OB, 15m bear, 1h mixed, 4h bull), 1h ADX 44 but slope slightly negative, Hurst 0.49 (random-walk), funding negative (z -1.35) — a choppy, indecisive tape with a mild recent down-drift (net -1.27% 24h). 2. LEAN CHECK: near-term momentum turned up (net +0.56% 4h, +0.82% 12h) off the 5d low (+2.26% above), OI accelerating_up, top-trader pos ratio 1.39 favors longs, funding deeply negative (crowded short = squeeze fuel) — a modest long lean. 3. THESIS: negative funding z with accelerating_up OI and 4h bull-aligned stack, price bouncing off 5d low with fresh buy momentum, points to a short-squeeze/mean-revert bounce; the with-4h-trend side. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI overbought (74/68) and 1h RSI only 49 — the bounce could stall and roll back under recent lows if sellers reassert. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the 5d low structure at 1846 (below the +2.26% low buffer), stretch TP toward the 5d high area / prior resistance at 1955, RR ~1.46. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy random-walk tape with a thin long lean, ETH WR weak (39%) — modest edge, high expire risk.
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