ETHUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,911.8 and hit its target at 1,938.7 after 6.2 hours, closing at +1.41%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 15:48 |
| Entry | 1,911.8 |
| Stop-loss | 1,882 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,938.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,956.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 1,938.7 |
| Realized P&L | +1.41% |
| Time open | 6.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 4/4 with EMA stacks bull on 5m/15m/4h (1h mixed), 1h ADX 26.4 rising (+4.2), efficiency_ratio_10 0.80 and choppiness 35.6 — a genuine fresh up-leg/breakout, not chop, though Hurst 0.47 tempers persistence. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — momentum (net +1.41% 4h, +2.39% 24h), rising OI, and taker buying all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI momentum accelerating_up with oi_5m_z +2.92 / oi_15m_z +3.35, taker_buy_sell 1.30, top-trader position ratio 1.27 (longs favored) and funding still only mildly positive (z -0.36) — fresh money leaning long into a strengthening trend, price just -1.9% off the 5d/20d/90d highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI is extremely stretched (5m 78.8, 15m 75.7, 1h 82.8) with iv_rv_spread +30 and inverted term structure — an overbought blow-off that reverses hard would invalidate; a break back below ~1885 (reclaim of the prior consolidation) kills the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 1911.85; stop 1882.0 below the 4h-momentum base and the pullback shelf (~1.56% risk); stretch TP 1958.0 at a push through the recent range highs (~2.42% reward, R:R ~1.55), reachable given avg 24h traversal 1.31% but with current net-24h already +2.39% and vol elevated. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought stretch caps the odds despite trend alignment.
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