ETHUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,887.4 and hit its target at 1,916 after 3.3 hours, closing at +1.51%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 12:18 |
| Entry | 1,887.4 |
| Stop-loss | 1,854 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,916 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,935 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.42 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 1,916 |
| Realized P&L | +1.51% |
| Time open | 3.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed/transitional — 5m/15m/4h bull-aligned but 1h mixed, ADX_1h 22 with positive slope +2.4, Hurst 0.48 (random-walk), choppiness 50 (neutral), funding mildly positive but z slightly negative — a calm, mildly-persistent bull drift, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: three of four TFs bull-aligned, net_move +1.49% 24h/+0.36% 4h, OI building (oi_15m_z +1.71, agg_oi +2.14%) and top-traders long-tilted (pos ratio 1.26) — the modest lean is LONG, but taker_buy_sell 0.84 (sellers active) and decelerating OI temper conviction. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long on a bull EMA stack across 5m/15m/4h with OI accumulating into a shallow uptrend and top-trader positioning favoring longs; realized vol sitting at 90d pctile 0.5% (extremely compressed) argues for expansion, and price above 5d/20d lows favors the upside resolution. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio <1 and decelerating OI mean the bid is soft — a break below the 5d-low support region (~1852) with sellers dominating flips this to a downtrend and invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry at mark 1887.42; stop below the recent swing/5d-low structure at 1854 (~1.77%); stretch TP at 1935 (~2.52%), a structural level near the 5d-high zone, giving R:R ~1.43. 6. EXPECTATION: compressed vol + soft flow tempers TP odds; p_tp1 39, p_sl 33, p_expire 28.
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