ETHUSD long — 28 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,920.3 and stopped out at 1,893.5 after 34 minutes, closing at -1.39%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-28 17:03 |
| Entry | 1,920.3 |
| Stop-loss | 1,893.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,944.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,960.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 1,893.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.39% |
| Time open | 34 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4), 1h ADX 28 but slope -5.5 (fading), choppiness 41 (transitional), ER-30 0.14 (noisy/nets nowhere), Hurst 0.52 neutral — a fading, transitional regime with a fresh bullish impulse on lower TFs (net +2.5%/4h, +2.0%/12h). 2. LEAN CHECK: recent flow leans long — OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +0.32, oi_15m_z +0.44, oi_change_recent_half +1.9%), taker ratio 1.11 and last few hourly buckets firm (1.28, 1.29, 1.05, 1.11), top-trader account ratio 1.72 / pos ratio 1.33 — modest long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: the strongest cluster is the fresh 4h impulse (+2.5%/4h) confirmed by accelerating_up OI and positive taker flow with a bull-aligned 4h EMA stack — a momentum long back toward the 5d/20d/90d high just 2.4% above. 4. PRE-MORTEM: ADX slope negative and ER-30 0.14 warn this impulse fizzles into chop; fear_greed 29 and net_24h -1.16% show the broader tape is soft — a stall below the 20d-high rejects the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent consolidation floor at 1893 (beyond the 12h base), entry near mark 1920.28, stretch TP at the 90d/20d-high cluster ~1966 which prints ~1.7x risk vs ~27pt stop — reachable given avg_move_24h ~1.9% and current 4h momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum + flow favor upside but faded ADX and chop risk keep expire meaningful.
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