ETHUSD long — 28 Jul 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 1,925.5 and stopped out at 1,893 after 6 hours, closing at -1.69%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-28 21:48 |
| Entry | 1,925.5 |
| Stop-loss | 1,893 |
| Take-profit 1 | 1,954.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 1,974.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.50 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 1,893 |
| Realized P&L | -1.69% |
| Time open | 6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4), 4h/5m bull-aligned but 1h/15m mixed; 1h ADX 22.4 fading (slope -4.7), choppiness 47, ER-30 near zero, Hurst 0.53 — a transitional/mildly-up chop rather than a clean trend, calm HMM. 2. LEAN CHECK: recent momentum is up (net +1.28%/4h, +2.67%/12h) with OI accelerating_up (5m z +1.05, agg OI +0.51%) and top-trader position ratio 1.28 long — modest long lean. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI building on an up-leg with rising 12h momentum, bull-aligned 4h/5m EMAs, funding still low/unwinding (funding z -0.31) so not crowded; the recent same-regime chop-long won +1.49% and this asset's chop WR is 60%. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker_buy_sell 0.87 (<1, latest hours mixed) and fading ADX warn the up-leg is stalling; a break below the 5d-low proximity area invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 1925.55; stop below recent structure at 1893 (~1.7%, beyond the 1h swing); stretch TP at 1975 (~2.6%, toward the 5d-high area which is only -2.1% away), R:R ~1.5. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge in choppy tape with meaningful expire risk.
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