ETHUSD long — 19 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,214.7 and hit its target at 2,263.5 after 8 minutes, closing at +2.21%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-19 20:57 |
| Entry | 2,214.7 |
| Stop-loss | 2,168 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,244 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,263.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.05 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,263.5 |
| Realized P&L | +2.21% |
| Time open | 8 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 56 slope +6.8 (very strong trend strengthening), choppiness 15.6 and ER-10 0.97 (extremely clean one-way tape), HMM calm high-conf — but Hurst 0.31 (mean-reverting), rolling z +8.0, RV_24h at 100th pctile, RSI 92-95 across all TFs, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs after +15.8% 24h: a violent, extremely extended bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: long lean — trend, momentum, OI (accelerating_up, +12% 24h) all point up, and the same-regime track record shows recent longs all winning. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: dominant cluster is HTF trend + accelerating OI — 4/4 bull EMA stack with ADX 56 rising and OI z +2.3 accelerating_up, top-trader pos ratio 1.40 net long, confirming continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 92-95 everywhere + rolling z +8 + Hurst 0.31 means a sharp mean-reversion snap could trigger; a break back below the fast-EMA reclaim invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2214.65; stop below near-term structure at 2168 (~2.1% ~ within realized 24h range given ATR); stretch TP at 2263 (~2.2%, R:R ~1.05, inside clamps) — a reachable next-leg extension. 6. EXPECTATION: extended but clean momentum; meaningful reversion risk from overbought/high-z favors moderate p_tp1 with real p_sl and p_expire.
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