ETHUSD long — 20 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,288 and hit its target at 2,320.3 after 6.3 hours, closing at +1.41%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-20 09:11 |
| Entry | 2,288 |
| Stop-loss | 2,238.4 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,320.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,341.8 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,320.3 |
| Realized P&L | +1.41% |
| Time open | 6.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), ADX_1h 70.0 slope +0.72 (extremely strong trend, still edging up), choppiness 32.8 + ER-30 0.71 (clean directional over 30 bars) but ER-10 0.39 (recent bars stalling), Hurst 0.66 (trending), HMM calm high-conf — a violent bull impulse (+19% 24h) now plateauing at extension. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — trend, OI (+15.2% 24h), top-trader pos ratio 1.50 and 4h delta +0.10 all point up; no coherent short tiebreak beyond extension. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — full bull EMA stack across all 4 TFs with ADX ~70 is the strongest cluster, backed by rising OI and top-trader long positioning; the same setup has won repeatedly here (recent bull_trend calls +1.4/1.9/2.6%). 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 81/93 on 1h/4h, rolling z +3.9, RV_24h at 98th pctile, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d highs — a mean-revert flush would invalidate the continuation. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below intraday structure at 2,238.4 (~2.2% risk, ~1.0x rv_24h intraday); stretch TP at 2,341.8 (~2.35% up, R:R ~1.07), a reachable extension given 24h traversal ~2% and strong momentum, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend but extended after a huge move — p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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