ETHUSD long — 24 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,506.3 and stopped out at 2,467.5 after 2.6 hours, closing at -1.55%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-24 14:24 |
| Entry | 2,506.3 |
| Stop-loss | 2,467.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,535.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,555 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,467.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.55% |
| Time open | 2.6 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bullish (4/4 EMA stacks), 4h ADX towering 53.6/RSI 71.4 (overbought), ADX_1h 23.4 slope +4.95 (strengthening), ER-10 0.61, choppiness 53, Hurst 0.58, HMM calm — a genuine bull trend with improving near-term efficiency. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — every EMA stack bullish, OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +3.3, agg_oi +5.4%), top-trader position ratio 1.80 long-heavy and rising 4h (+0.044). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is trend + flow confluence — HTF trend intact with accelerating OI on the up leg and top-traders positioned long; net_move_4h +1.58% shows fresh momentum. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 71 on 4h overbought and price at 5d/20d/90d high (-0.74%) with taker ratio slipping to 0.93 (sellers this hour) and funding z +1.53 crowded-long — a rejection at the highs invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 2506.26; stop below the near-term structure at 2467.5 (~1.55% risk, within ~0.5-1.5x the 3.94% avg 24h range); stretch TP at 2555 (~1.95% reward, R:R ~1.26, inside clamps) targeting a break above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: trend+flow favor upside but overbought/highs add real fade risk.
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