ETHUSD long — 28 Aug 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,487.7 and hit its target at 2,513.9 after 15 minutes, closing at +1.05%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 14:23 |
| Entry | 2,487.7 |
| Stop-loss | 2,452.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,513.9 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,531.4 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,513.9 |
| Realized P&L | +1.05% |
| Time open | 15 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed 0/4 (5m bear, 15m mixed, 1h/4h bull), 1h ADX 9.7 slope -0.28 and ADX-20 8.4 (no 1h trend at all), 4h ADX 37 lags, ER-10 0.01/ER-30 0.18, choppiness 54, Hurst 0.39 (mean-reverting), HMM calm — genuine chop_high_vol tape with an exhausted/aimless near-term path inside a still-intact 4h bull structure. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a thin long tiebreak — HTF 4h EMA bull, top-trader position ratio 1.86 heavily long, OI accelerating_up + last taker bucket 1.27, funding deeply negative (z -1.55) leaving room for shorts to be squeezed; near-term momentum is soft-bearish (net_4h/24h negative) but not decisive. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: long lean off the 4h bull structure plus strong top-trader long positioning (1.86 pos ratio) and negative funding (crowd short/underpaid) — a modest squeeze-friendly setup sitting -1.9% below 5d/20d/90d highs with room to reclaim. 4. PRE-MORTEM: a clean break below the 5d-low proximity / loss of the ~2465 shelf with expanding down-volume would confirm the near-term bear leg and invalidate the reclaim. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2487.66; stop below the intraday shelf at 2452.5 (~1.41% ≈ ~0.4x the 4.27% 7d range, tight given low RV pctl 2.6%); stretch TP at 2531.4 (~1.76%, R:R ≈ 1.24, inside 1.5x and 4% clamps) toward the 5d-high reclaim zone. 6. EXPECTATION: chop with soft-bear near-term momentum caps p_tp1; meaningful expire risk given ADX-9 dead tape.
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