ETHUSD long — 28 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,510 and stopped out at 2,467.5 after 1.1 hours, closing at -1.69%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-28 14:53 |
| Entry | 2,510 |
| Stop-loss | 2,467.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,543 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,565 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.29 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,467.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.69% |
| Time open | 1.1 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed but EMA stacks bull on 15m/1h/4h (4h ADX 37.9/RSI 60), 1h ADX 9.7 slope -0.28 and ADX-20 8.4 (no near-term trend), ER-30 0.08/choppiness 54, Hurst 0.39 mean-reverting, HMM calm — a genuine chop_high_vol tape inside an intact 4h bull structure, sitting -0.9% under 5d/20d/90d highs. 2. LEAN CHECK: mild long lean — 4h trend, positioning and flow all tilt up while there is no coherent short case. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: top_trader_pos_ratio 1.86 (rising, 4h chg +0.07), taker 1.27 with OI accelerating_up (oi_15m_z +0.78, oi_change_recent_half +1.25%) point at buyers rebuilding under the 5d high; funding is deeply negative (z -1.55) so no crowded-long risk to fade. 4. PRE-MORTEM: with 1h ADX <10 and Hurst mean-reverting, this is chop — a rejection back below ~2490 invalidates and the near-term path can simply drift down. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2510.02; stop below the recent consolidation floor / 5d-low buffer at 2467.5 (~1.7% ≈ 0.53x rv_24h daily range); stretch TP at 2565 (~2.19% up, R:R ~1.29, inside clamps) targeting a retest above the 5d high. 6. EXPECTATION: chop keeps p_expire high with the thin edge; p_tp1 slightly above p_sl given trend/positioning tilt.
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