ETHUSD long — 9 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,510.2 and stopped out at 2,478.5 after 8 hours, closing at -1.26%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-09 07:18 |
| Entry | 2,510.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,478.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,533.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,549.5 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.24 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,478.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.26% |
| Time open | 8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4 EMA stack, but 1h ADX 13.1 (slope +3.5 rising off a low base), ADX-20 9.5, ER-30 0.03, choppiness 60, Hurst 0.48 — a bull-aligned EMA structure sitting inside a low-ADX chop tape near the 5d/20d/90d high (-0.615%). 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean survives — full bull EMA stack, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +1.6), top-traders long (pos ratio 1.66), all net moves positive; the counter is proximity to highs, weak ADX and negative macro (total mcap -3.8%, ETH ETF outflow). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long — 4/4 EMA stack plus accelerating OI and top-trader positioning (1.66 pos ratio) point up; rising ADX slope hints the chop may resolve upward. 4. PRE-MORTEM: sitting at the 5d/20d/90d high with rolling z +1.24 and no ADX confirmation — a rejection at that high flips this to a distribution fade. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2510.25; stop below the recent consolidation shelf at 2478.5 (~1.26%, well inside rv_24h ~39% intraday range and atr context); stretch TP at 2549.5 (~1.56%, R:R ~1.24) targeting a break through the local high. 6. EXPECTATION: near-highs chop with a real but unconfirmed trend lean — p_tp1 44, p_sl 37, p_expire 19.
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