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ETHUSD long — 11 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,465.1 and hit its target at 2,493.8 after 6.8 hours, closing at +1.17%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-11 05:49 |
| Entry | 2,465.1 |
| Stop-loss | 2,427 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,493.8 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,513 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.26 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,493.8 |
| Realized P&L | +1.17% |
| Time open | 6.8 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf mixed 2/4 (5m bull, 15m mixed, 1h bear, 4h bull), 1h ADX 19.7 slope -3.1 (fading), ADX-20 18.3, ER-10 0.05/ER-30 0.01 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 58.2, Hurst 0.43 (mean-reverting), HMM calm 0.999 — a low-efficiency chop tape with no clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: two-sided but a modest long lean survives — 4h bull EMA, fresh 4h positive net move (+0.49%), taker ratio 1.55 (last hour buying), top-traders long (pos 1.26, acct 1.54), funding_z -1.26 (unwound, not crowded long), price sitting near 5d/20d low with room up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow cluster — hourly taker ratio surged to 1.55 with the last several buckets tilting buy (1.17,1.72,1.36→1.55), agg_oi +1.44 building into buying, top-trader positioning long; this aligns with the surviving 4h bull EMA. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h EMA is bear-aligned and ADX slope negative — a rejection back under ~2450 with net_move_pct_24h staying negative kills the long and confirms the downleg. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent swing / 5d-low area at 2427 (~1.55% risk, within rv/atr range); stretch target at 2513 (~1.94% up, RR ~1.25x), a reachable structural level just under the 5d high given ~1.46% typical 24h traversal but supported by momentum. 6. EXPECTATION: chop tape, thin-but-real long lean; p_tp1 41 / p_sl 39 / p_expire 20.
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