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ETHUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,702.7 and hit its target at 2,738.3 after 40 minutes, closing at +1.32%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 08:53 |
| Entry | 2,702.7 |
| Stop-loss | 2,648 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,738.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,762 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.09 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,738.3 |
| Realized P&L | +1.32% |
| Time open | 40 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4 EMA stacks bull-aligned), 1h ADX 38.0 slope +1.37 (strong and firming), ER-30 0.43, choppiness 49 (mid-trend), Hurst 0.62 (persistent), HMM calm 0.999 — a firm uptrend printing at the 5d/20d/90d high on a +5.0% 24h impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans long — trend, OI flow and top-trader positioning all point up; no coherent short thesis. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +2.26, oi_15m_z +2.38, agg_oi +7.5%) with top_trader_pos_ratio 1.53 and price at fresh highs — new money leaning long into a strengthening ADX trend, trend-aligned. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across all TFs (76/68/71/73), rolling z +2.26, RV pctile 93% and 1h taker ratio slipped to 0.89 — a stretched blow-off that mean-reverts if buyers exhaust would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 2,648 (~2.0% below, ~0.5x the 4.0% daily range, beyond invalidation); stretch TP at 2,762 (+2.2%, RR ~1.1, inside clamps) toward measured continuation. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought but trend-aligned with firming ADX and building OI; p_tp1 46, p_sl 34, p_expire 20.
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