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ETHUSD long — 21 Sep 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,682.2 and hit its target at 2,708.5 after 8.2 hours, closing at +0.98%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-21 00:25 |
| Entry | 2,682.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,638.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,708.5 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,726 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.00 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,708.5 |
| Realized P&L | +0.98% |
| Time open | 8.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bullish MTF (4/4 EMA stacks bull-aligned), 1h ADX 31.2 (slope -0.67, strong but flat), ER-10 0.74 (clean recent path)/ER-30 0.17, choppiness 34 (trending), Hurst 0.61 (persistent), HMM calm 0.999 — a firm uptrend printing at the 5d/20d/90d high on a +1.9% 4h / +4.1% 12h impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans long — trend, flow and positioning all point up; overbought RSI (75+ across TFs) is the only caution but not a fade trigger absent reclaim confirmation. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: OI is accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.38, oi_15m_z +2.30, agg_oi +2.2%) alongside a fresh 24h high and top-trader position ratio 1.54 long — trend-aligned momentum with real fresh money behind the breakout. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI overbought across all TFs (76/75/76/71) with adx slope negative and rolling z +2.25 (stretched) — a mean-revert flush back through ~2650 would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: stop_loss 2638.5 below the recent breakout shelf and beyond the stretched-z pullback zone (~1.6% risk, within the 57% rv_24h / ~0.8% 1h atr context); take_profit_1 2726.0 (~1.63% ≈ 1.02x stop distance), a reachable extension of the impulse within 24h given 2.2% typical daily traversal. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh-high momentum favors continuation but overbought stretch caps it.
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