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ETHUSD long — 24 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,684.1 and stopped out at 2,646.5 after 14 minutes, closing at -1.40%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-24 14:38 |
| Entry | 2,684.1 |
| Stop-loss | 2,646.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,714.6 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,735 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.35 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,646.5 |
| Realized P&L | -1.40% |
| Time open | 14 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 4h EMA bull-aligned but 1h/5m mixed and 15m bear (alignment 0/4, mtf mixed, regime transitional); 1h ADX 26 slope -2.5 (fading), ER-10 0.03 / ER-30 0.18 (path nets nowhere — choppy), choppiness 55 (mid-range), Hurst 0.59, HMM calm 1.0 — a stalling/transitional tape near mid-range, not a clean trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net_move_4h +1.39%, taker ratio 1.30 (latest bucket highest of 24h), top-trader pos ratio 1.55 long, funding mildly positive and building, 4h EMA bull; against it: OI bleeding (-2.6% 24h, decelerating) and mtf 0/4. Two-sided but buyers have the fresh push. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: recent-flow cluster (taker 1.30 + net_move_4h +1.39% + top-trader long 1.55 + funding_momentum +0.18) points long, and it's not fighting the 4h bull EMA stack — a trend-consistent short-hold bounce off the 5d-low side (+4.4% above 5d low, -3.5% below 5d high). 4. PRE-MORTEM: OI decelerating and 24h OI down 2.6% means the push is unfunded — a rejection back under ~2665 (recent 1h structure) invalidates and the chop regime's poor track record (5 straight SL losses) reasserts. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2684.12; stop below 2648 structure at 2646.5 (dist ~1.40%, within ~0.6x rv/atr range); stretch TP at 2735 (dist ~1.90%, RR ~1.36, inside 1.5x/4% clamps) targeting the 5d-high zone. 6. EXPECTATION: choppy transitional regime with thin flow edge — modest p_tp1, meaningful expire.
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