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ETHUSD long — 27 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,711.8 and stopped out at 2,668 after 17.2 hours, closing at -1.61%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-27 07:53 |
| Entry | 2,711.8 |
| Stop-loss | 2,668 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,740.7 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,760 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.10 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 2,668 |
| Realized P&L | -1.61% |
| Time open | 17.2 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with all EMAs bull-aligned, but 1h ADX only 11.3 (chop) despite +1.13 slope firming; ER-10 0.53 clean short-term vs ER-30 0.18 noisy, choppiness 39.9 (edge of trending), Hurst 0.55, HMM calm — a bullish-tilted low-vol tape starting to firm, not a strong trend. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — full bull EMA stack, top-trader pos ratio 1.63 long, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +3.1), fresh ETF eth inflow at 1.26x velocity, RSI 65-69 across short TFs. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — accelerating_up OI with oi_5m_z +3.11 alongside a firming ADX slope and full bull EMA stack, trend-aligned; ETH ETF +$87M at 1.26x velocity and greed sentiment add a macro tailwind. 4. PRE-MORTEM: taker ratio 0.986 (slightly under 1) and net_move_24h only +0.84% signals buying is thin — a rejection back below the 5d pivot / loss of the 1h EMA stack would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: mark 2711.75; stop below recent structure at 2668 (~1.6% risk, within rv_24h ~18.6 daily range); stretch TP at 2760 (~1.8% reward), R:R ~1.1, inside clamps and reachable within 24h given avg_move_24h 1.78% and 5d_high just -2.37% overhead. 6. EXPECTATION: firming-but-low-conviction bull; p_tp1 46, p_sl 36, p_expire 18.
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