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ETHUSD long — 20 Oct 2026 (hit target)
This long on ETHUSD entered at 2,447.2 and hit its target at 2,475.3 after 49 minutes, closing at +1.15%.
| Asset | ETHUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-20 14:09 |
| Entry | 2,447.2 |
| Stop-loss | 2,408.5 |
| Take-profit 1 | 2,475.3 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 2,494 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | hit its target |
| Close price | 2,475.3 |
| Realized P&L | +1.15% |
| Time open | 49 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Mixed/transitional — mtf_alignment 0/4 but 1h/4h EMA stacks bear_aligned, 1h ADX 24.2 slope -1.62 (fading), 4h ADX 28.5, choppiness 41.9 (mid), ER-30 0.07 (longer path nets nowhere), Hurst 0.39 mean-reverting, HMM calm hi-conf; yet fresh momentum is strongly POSITIVE (net +2.72%/4h, +2.12%/12h, +1.69%/24h), 5m/15m RSI 77-80 overbought. 2. LEAN CHECK: thin long lean — fresh 4h/12h/24h push up, taker ratio 1.17, OI accelerating_up (oi_5m_z +5.4) and top-trader pos ratio 1.63 long; the HTF bear structure is countered by a live bounce reclaiming off the 5d low (+4.9% above it). 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow — accelerating OI into a rising tape with buy-side takers and top-traders net long, a momentum/flow confluence pushing price back toward the 5d high (only -1.03% away). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m/15m RSI near 80 = exhaustion risk; a rejection at the 5d high flips this to the dominant 4h bear structure and the move fades. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 2447.25, stop 2408.5 below the recent reclaim/consolidation shelf (~1.58% ≈ 0.4x rv_24h, reasonable), take_profit_1 2494.0 at the 5d-high retest zone (RR ≈ 1.21, within clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: overbought short-term vs HTF bear caps upside odds; p_tp1 41, p_sl 38, p_expire 21.
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