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HYPEUSD long — 17 Aug 2026 (expired)

This long on HYPEUSD entered at 59.5028 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 60.03 with a price move of +0.89%, and does not count in the win rate.

AssetHYPEUSD
Directionlong
Issued (UTC)2026-08-17 07:28
Entry59.5028
Stop-loss57.85
Take-profit 160.8511
Take-profit 2 (stretch)61.75
Reward:risk at entry1.36
Outcomeexpired flat
Close price60.03
Realized P&L+0.89%
Time open24 hours

What the model saw at issue time

AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.

1. REGIME READ: MTF bull-tilted (5m/15m/1h bull-aligned, 4h mixed), 1h ADX 31.6 rising (slope +3.5), choppiness 32.9 (trending), ER-10 0.69 clean, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a firming bull impulse in low-vol tape, but z-score +2.81 and 1h RSI 73 overbought flag extension. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence leans long — net moves positive across 4h/12h/24h (+0.61/+3.01/+3.48%), OI accelerating_up (5m z +2.30), taker 1.27, top-trader pos ratio 1.40. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI + trend confluence — accelerating OI with positive taker and top-trader long tilt riding a clean bull-aligned 5m/15m/1h stack at fresh 5d/20d/90d highs (breakout). 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is at all extrema highs with 1h RSI 73 and z +2.81 — a blowoff-top rejection back below ~58.5 would invalidate; that overextension is the one contradicting cluster. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.50, stop below the recent breakout shelf at 57.85 (~2.8% risk, ~0.55x avg 24h range, sane for 50 RV), stretch TP at 61.75 (~3.78% reward, R:R ~1.36, inside clamps) toward a round extension level reachable within 24h given 12h/24h net moves already +3%. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh breakout with flow backing but overbought — modest edge.

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