HYPEUSD long — 21 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 75.87 and stopped out at 73.2 after 10 minutes, closing at -3.52%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-21 08:56 |
| Entry | 75.87 |
| Stop-loss | 73.2 |
| Take-profit 1 | 77.688 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 78.9 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.13 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 73.2 |
| Realized P&L | -3.52% |
| Time open | 10 minutes |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4, 1h ADX 39.5 (adx_20 43.8) but slope -3.4 (fading), choppiness 51.9 mid-range, ER-10 0.30 / ER-30 0.29 (noisy path netting little), Hurst 0.56, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a strong but decelerating bull trend, price pinned at 5d/20d/90d high, rolling z +2.74 (extended), rv_24h at 88th pctile. 2. LEAN CHECK: HTF EMA stack fully bullish across all four TFs, top-traders heavily long (pos ratio 1.80, acct 1.66), OI accelerating_up (5m z +2.08, 15m z +3.22), fresh 4h +4.56% net move — evidence leans clearly long despite extension. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-alignment cluster (full_bullish MTF + fresh net_move_pct_4h +4.56% + accelerating OI + top-trader crowd long) is the strongest; this asset's own recent wins came from riding the bull stack at highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: extension is the risk — RSI 82 on 4h, rolling z +2.74, ADX fading — a mean-revert flush from these highs invalidates; last two same-regime longs at conf ~56-58 lost on SL. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 75.87; stop below the last intraday shelf at 73.20 (~3.5% risk, ~0.8x rv_24h/atr), invalidates the fresh breakout leg; TP stretch 78.90 (~4.0% / R:R ~1.14) at the next round extension inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: momentum favors continuation but extension caps follow-through — p_tp1 42, p_sl 38, p_expire 20.
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