HYPEUSD long — 25 Aug 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 82.5612 and stopped out at 79.8 after 2.5 hours, closing at -3.34%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-25 18:13 |
| Entry | 82.5612 |
| Stop-loss | 79.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 84.5427 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 85.8636 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 79.8 |
| Realized P&L | -3.34% |
| Time open | 2.5 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF full_bullish 4/4 with 4h ADX 48/RSI 64 (strong intact higher-TF uptrend) but 1h ADX only 16.5 (chop threshold, though slope +0.74 rebuilding), ER-30 0.14/choppiness 54/Hurst 0.44 (noisy mean-reverting path near-term), HMM calm — an extended bull structure sitting AT its 5d/20d/90d high after +5.8% day. 2. LEAN CHECK: price is pinned at every extrema high with OI accelerating up (oi_5m_z +2.43, oi_momentum accelerating_up, agg_oi +4.1%) and top-traders net long (pos ratio 1.65) — the trend-aligned long is the side the evidence favors. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: full bull EMA stack across all four TFs plus accelerating OI into fresh highs is a momentum-confirmed continuation; net_move +6.4% on 24h with strong 4h ADX 48 shows the higher-TF trend is doing real work, not just chop. 4. PRE-MORTEM: sitting exactly at 5d/20d/90d high with 1h taker ratio 0.97 (slight sell tilt), rolling z +1.26 and top-trader pos ratio fading (4h chg -0.13) — a failed breakout / rejection off the high flushes fast, the recurring SL-hit pattern in this asset's recent longs. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 82.56; stop below the recent 1h consolidation shelf at 79.85 (~3.3% ≈ 0.65x rv_24h, structural invalidation of breakout); stretch TP at 85.95 (~4.1% clamps to 4%, giving ~1.25x R:R), a realistic reach given avg 24h traversal 5.1%. 6. EXPECTATION: fresh-high breakouts in a hot but choppy 1h tape have modest edge with real reversal risk.
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