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HYPEUSD long — 24 Sep 2026 (expired)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 93.18 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 92.622 with a price move of -0.60%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-24 13:38 |
| Entry | 93.18 |
| Stop-loss | 90.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 94.782 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 95.85 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.20 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 92.622 |
| Realized P&L | -0.60% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (0/4) — 4h EMA bull_aligned but 1h/5m mixed and 15m bear_aligned; 1h ADX 24.9 slope -3.0 (trend fading), ER-10 0.14 / ER-30 0.17 (path nets nowhere), choppiness 49 mid, Hurst 0.58, HMM calm 1.0 — a matured bull structure in a transitional, near-choppy pullback. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG lean near-term — the recent 4h net move is +2.88% (a firm bounce), taker ratio 1.42 with a fresh reload higher in the last bucket, OI accelerating_up (oi_change_recent_half +0.92%), top-trader position ratio 2.0 heavily long, funding negative/washed-out (z -1.62, agg z -0.87) — flow and positioning tilt long against a still-bull 4h stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/positioning — top traders 2:1 long, OI accelerating up on a rising taker ratio, funding deeply negative (short crowding to squeeze) while 4h remains bull_aligned, so the reflex bounce off the 5d low has support. 4. PRE-MORTEM: price is only -4.55% off its 5d/20d/90d high and RSI 5m is 76 (overbought) — a rejection back below the 4h flush low (~$91) invalidates the bounce and re-opens the downtrend. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.18; stop 90.95 just under the recent flush zone (~2.4% risk, within the ~5.6% daily range and RV); TP 95.85 as stretch to reclaim the recent supply shelf (~2.86% reward, R:R ~1.2, inside clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: mixed alignment and mid choppiness cap conviction; base rate on chop-regime longs here is ~50/50 with meaningful expire.
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