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HYPEUSD long — 5 Oct 2026 (expired)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 93.4665 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 93.081 with a price move of -0.41%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-05 08:20 |
| Entry | 93.4665 |
| Stop-loss | 90.95 |
| Take-profit 1 | 95.3466 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 96.6 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.25 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 93.081 |
| Realized P&L | -0.41% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf full_bullish 4/4 (5m/15m/1h/4h all bull_aligned), 1h ADX 29.6 slope +3.6 (strengthening trend), ADX-20 25.2, choppiness 31.5 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.69 (clean), HMM calm 1.0 — a genuine, strengthening bull trend, though 1h RSI 80 is deeply overbought and price pins the 5d/20d/90d high. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear LONG lean — trend, flow and positioning all point up; no credible short case beyond mean-reversion of an overbought RSI. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — oi_momentum accelerating_up with oi_5m_z +6.1 / oi_15m_z +6.7 and agg OI +4.8% 24h, top-trader pos ratio 2.44, taker 1.23, net +3.0% 4h — fresh capital entering on the trend-aligned long side as price breaks to new highs. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 80 overbought at the 90d high — a failed breakout / RSI exhaustion rejection back below ~91.5 invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 93.47; stop 90.95 just below the breakout shelf and prior consolidation (~2.7% stop, ≈0.77x the rv_24h daily range — reasonable); TP1 stretch 96.60 at the measured-move extension (~3.35% / 1.24x stop distance, inside clamps), reachable within 24h given avg 24h move 2.2% and current +3% impulse. 6. EXPECTATION: strong trend favors continuation but overbought/extended tape raises pullback odds — p_tp1 48, p_sl 34, p_expire 18.
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