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HYPEUSD long — 26 Oct 2026 (stopped out)
This long on HYPEUSD entered at 79.7452 and stopped out at 78.498 after 2.3 hours, closing at -1.56%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-10-26 17:42 |
| Entry | 79.7452 |
| Stop-loss | 78.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 80.7081 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 81.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.34 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 78.498 |
| Realized P&L | -1.56% |
| Time open | 2.3 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF mixed 2/4 (5m/15m bull_aligned, 1h mixed+RSI 71.7 overbought, 4h bear_aligned), 1h ADX 17 slope +1.9 (sub-trend, barely firming), choppiness 35 (near trending), ER-10 0.70 clean / ER-30 0.28 noisy, Hurst 0.37 mean-reverting, HMM calm 0.999 — a fresh short-term up-impulse against a stale 4h bear in a choppy base. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest LONG — strong near-term momentum (net +3.78% 4h, +3.59% 12h, +3.09% 24h) with accelerating OI, outweighs the stale 4h bear. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: flow/OI cluster is the edge — oi_5m_z +1.76 accelerating_up, agg_oi_24h +8.8%, oi_change +6%, top-trader pos ratio 2.40 (heavily long), taker 1.05, fresh 5m/15m bull stack with ER-10 0.70 confirming a clean near-term up-leg; this is longs adding into a breakout off the 5d low (+6.3% off low). 4. PRE-MORTEM: 1h RSI 71.7 overbought + 4h bear + Hurst mean-reverting means an exhaustion fade could snap back below the 5m/15m EMA stack; a loss of ~78.8 kills the thesis. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 79.75, stop 78.55 below the fresh impulse base / near-term EMA cluster (~1.5% ≈ 0.8x the 1.79% typical 24h traversal), stretch TP 81.35 at the 5d-high confluence (~2.0% up, R:R ~1.33, inside 1.5x/4% clamps). 6. EXPECTATION: momentum real but overbought + mean-reverting Hurst and a prior chop-long losing streak temper it — p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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