HYPEUSD short — 31 Jul 2026 (expired)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 52.57 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 52.19 with a price move of +0.72%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-31 20:21 |
| Entry | 52.57 |
| Stop-loss | 54.15 |
| Take-profit 1 | 51.238 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 50.35 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.41 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 52.19 |
| Realized P&L | +0.72% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: full_bearish MTF alignment (4/4 bear EMA stacks 5m-4h), 4h ADX 30.9 and 1h ADX 24 rising (slope +6.7) confirm a genuine, strengthening downtrend; Hurst 0.48 neutral, choppiness 40.8 (trending edge), Fear&Greed 25 (extreme fear) — a real bear_trend regime. 2. LEAN CHECK: short is clearly favored — every timeframe bear-aligned, fresh downside momentum (net -1.6% 4h, -4.5% 24h), OI bleeding, this asset's short WR here is 45%+ in bear regime. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short with accelerating flow — OI declining (oi_5m_z -1.03, oi_15m_z -1.23, agg_oi_24h -4.5%), taker_buy_sell 0.721 (net selling), price sitting just above the 5d/20d/90d low (dist +0.25%) primed to break lower on continuation. 4. PRE-MORTEM: the caveat is oversold exhaustion — rolling_z_20d -2.11 and top_trader_pos_ratio 1.94 (top traders heavily long), so a mean-reversion bounce off the low could squeeze; a reclaim back above ~53.5 with rising OI invalidates. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 52.57, stop_loss 54.15 (above recent consolidation and top-trader long defense, ~3% / ~1.4x ATR-4h), take_profit_1 50.35 (fresh break below the 90d low toward next structural support, ~4.2% move, RR ~1.4). 6. EXPECTATION: given oversold-but-trending tape and 24h horizon.
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