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HYPEUSD short — 29 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This short on HYPEUSD entered at 85.9453 and stopped out at 87.75 after 16.7 hours, closing at -2.10%.
| Asset | HYPEUSD |
| Direction | short |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-29 20:23 |
| Entry | 85.9453 |
| Stop-loss | 87.75 |
| Take-profit 1 | 84.6281 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 83.75 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.22 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 87.75 |
| Realized P&L | -2.10% |
| Time open | 16.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: 5m/15m/1h all bear_aligned (RSI 39-45), only 4h mixed; 1h ADX 26.4 slope +2.3 (genuine, firming downtrend), ER-10 0.35/ER-30 0.11 (path nets little), choppiness 45 mid, Hurst 0.35 mean-reverting, HMM calm 1.0 — a matured structure flushing lower, near-term bearish. 2. LEAN CHECK: SHORT lean — net -2.82% 12h / -2.54% 24h, price -8.9% off 5d high, rolling z -2.50 (stretched but still directional); the bear tape is intact and this asset's win history is heavily short-side. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned short — bear EMA stack across 5m/15m/1h with ADX firming, momentum negative on all near-term horizons, and last-hour taker ratio collapsed to 0.53 (heavy selling); OI accelerating_up into a falling price = shorts pressing. 4. PRE-MORTEM: z-score -2.50 and only +0.62% off 5d low means a mean-reversion snapback (top-traders long 1.45 pos ratio, agg longs 88% of liqs done) could ignite a squeeze back through the 15m EMA. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 85.95, stop above near-term structure at 87.75 (~2.1% — within the ~4.4% 7d range and 1h ATR context), take_profit_1 at 83.75 (~2.56% down, ~1.2x stop distance, R:R ~1.2), a level near the 5d low that the bear leg points to. 6. EXPECTATION: firm but stretched downtrend against oversold snapback risk.
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