PAXGUSD long — 26 Jul 2026 (expired)
This long on PAXGUSD entered at 4,081.6 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 4,068.6 with a price move of -0.32%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | PAXGUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-07-26 22:18 |
| Entry | 4,081.6 |
| Stop-loss | 4,046 |
| Take-profit 1 | 4,109.4 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 4,128 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.31 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 4,068.6 |
| Realized P&L | -0.32% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: Bull trend — 5m/15m/1h EMA all bull_aligned, 1h ADX 39.4 rising (+8.1 slope), choppiness 18.9 (strongly trending), ER-10 0.89 (clean one-way), gold spot +0.60% 24h; only 4h EMA mixed/ADX 16. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long lean — momentum, flow and macro all point up; the only caution is RSI overbought across fast TFs (1h 86, 15m 92) and rolling z +0.99. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: trend-aligned long with confirming flow — taker buy 1.10, top-trader pos ratio 2.79 (heavily long), OI accelerating_up (oi 15m z +5.3), agg OI +1.67%, macro gold rising into a fear tape (F&G 26); this asset's own 30d WR is 52.9% and bull momentum is intact. 4. PRE-MORTEM: overbought RSI + top-trader pos ratio ticking down (-0.045 1h, -0.069 4h) could mark a local exhaustion / mean-revert pullback. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 4081.55; stop below the fast-TF invalidation and prior consolidation at 4046 (~0.87%, beyond the 5d-low buffer and recent 4h base); stretch TP at 4128 (~1.14%) toward the 5d/20d high area extension, RR ~1.3. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought stretch limits follow-through within 24h but trend is strong.
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