SLVONUSD long — 17 Aug 2026 (expired)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 59.7942 and reached neither its target nor its stop within 24 hours. It expired at 60.3 with a price move of +0.85%, and does not count in the win rate.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-08-17 01:13 |
| Entry | 59.7942 |
| Stop-loss | 58.85 |
| Take-profit 1 | 60.5477 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 61.05 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | expired flat |
| Close price | 60.3 |
| Realized P&L | +0.85% |
| Time open | 24 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment full_bullish 4/4 with all EMA stacks bull_aligned, 1h ADX 24.8 rising (slope +4.8), choppiness 33.2 (trending), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a genuine, strengthening higher-TF uptrend, cleanest SLVON read I've seen in the attribution history. 2. LEAN CHECK: clear long — trend, momentum, and flow all point up. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: three confirming clusters — (a) full 4/4 MTF bull alignment with rising ADX; (b) flow: OI +5.2%/24h with oi_momentum accelerating_up and 1h taker ratio 1.62 (buyers dominant); (c) net_move +1.89% (4h) fresh momentum plus top-trader position ratio 1.49 long-tilted. 4. PRE-MORTEM: overbought exhaustion — 5m RSI 82, 1h RSI 72, z_score +1.68, price only -0.945% under the 5d/20d/90d high; a rejection at that high stalls or reverses the move. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 59.7942; stop 58.85 below the recent consolidation shelf and beyond the +1σ churn (~1.58% risk, roughly 0.5-0.6x rv_24h band, within stop-width rule); stretch TP 61.05 (~2.1% / ~1.3x risk) targeting a push through the 5d high — reachable within 24h given avg 24h traversal ~0.9% but recent net moves running 1.4-1.9%. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought caps upside conviction, so meaningful expire/reversal risk.
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