SLVONUSD long — 9 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 61.3733 and stopped out at 60.55 after 1.7 hours, closing at -1.34%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-09 13:33 |
| Entry | 61.3733 |
| Stop-loss | 60.55 |
| Take-profit 1 | 62.0313 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 62.47 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.33 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 60.55 |
| Realized P&L | -1.34% |
| Time open | 1.7 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: MTF alignment 2/4 (5m/15m/1h bull-aligned, 4h mixed), 1h ADX 20.5 slope +0.26 (just above trend threshold and firming), ER_10 0.49 but ER_30 0.25 (near-term impulse on a path that partly nets), choppiness 42.6 (neutral, edging trend), Hurst 0.46 (mean-reverting), HMM calm conf 1.0 — a low-vol calm tape with a fresh lower-TF bull impulse. 2. LEAN CHECK: evidence tilts long — net_move_4h +2.0%, net_move_12h +2.3%, silver spot XAG +2.16% 24h, silver ETF proxy +3.07% 1d, OI accelerating_up with oi_5m_z +1.23, taker 1h 1.11. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: strongest cluster is flow/OI — OI momentum accelerating_up on rising price with top-trader position ratio 1.94 long and a broad silver/gold macro bid (XAUT/PAXG corr +0.85, gold +1.39% 1d), aligned with the lower-TF bull EMA stack. 4. PRE-MORTEM: 5m RSI 83.5 / 15m RSI 73 overbought and z_score +1.90 at the 5d/20d/90d highs — a mean-revert snapback from an exhausted push would invalidate. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 61.3733; stop below the recent breakout/consolidation shelf at 60.55 (~1.34%, ~0.5x rv-implied 24h range and structural); stretch TP 62.47 (~1.79% up, ~1.34x stop distance, R:R ~1.34) toward extension of the momentum leg, inside clamps. 6. EXPECTATION: overbought extension against a mean-reverting Hurst tempers the win prob; p_tp1 44, p_sl 38, p_expire 18.
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