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SLVONUSD long — 16 Sep 2026 (stopped out)
This long on SLVONUSD entered at 58.7354 and stopped out at 57.98 after 15 hours, closing at -1.29%.
| Asset | SLVONUSD |
| Direction | long |
| Issued (UTC) | 2026-09-16 02:58 |
| Entry | 58.7354 |
| Stop-loss | 57.98 |
| Take-profit 1 | 59.2842 |
| Take-profit 2 (stretch) | 59.65 |
| Reward:risk at entry | 1.21 |
| Outcome | stopped out |
| Close price | 57.98 |
| Realized P&L | -1.29% |
| Time open | 15 hours |
What the model saw at issue time
AI-generated analysis, written before the outcome was known. Quoted verbatim, never edited after the close.
1. REGIME READ: mtf_alignment mixed (2/4) with LTF bull (5m/15m EMA bull_aligned, RSI 74-75 overbought) but 4h EMA bear_aligned, 1h mixed; 1h ADX 19.4 slope -0.54 (weak/fading trend), ER_10 0.56 / ER_30 0.26 / choppiness 43.4 (transitional, mild directional), Hurst 0.52, HMM calm conf 1.0 — a calm tape with fresh short-term upward momentum against a soft HTF backdrop. 2. LEAN CHECK: modest long lean — net +1.50% 4h / +2.43% 12h, taker 1h 1.167 (buy-heavy), silver spot XAG +1.90% 24h, ER_10 0.56 shows a cleaner recent path; the fresh momentum edges out the bearish 4h stack. 3. DIRECTIONAL THESIS: short-term momentum cluster — LTF EMA bull-aligned, positive net moves across 4h/12h/24h, buy-heavy takers and silver spot up 1.9% all point up near-term, trend-aligned with the immediate impulse. 4. PRE-MORTEM: RSI 74-75 overbought on 5m/15m plus price just 0.84% under the 5d high and a bear-aligned 4h stack means this could be an exhaustion top that rolls over. 5. LEVEL PLACEMENT: entry 58.7354; stop below the recent swing/momentum invalidation at 57.98 (~1.29% risk, within the ~2.78% 7d range and rv-appropriate); stretch TP at 59.65 (~1.56% reward), R:R ~1.2, a reachable push toward the 5d high inside 24h. 6. EXPECTATION: modest edge with overbought risk — p_tp1 41, p_sl 37, p_expire 22.
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